Emerging Economies, Risk and Development, and Intelligent Technology Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, June 1-3, 2015, Tangier, Morocco Communications in Cybernetics, Systems Science and Engineering – Proceedings Series

RACR is a series of biennial international conferences on risk analysis, crisis response, and disaster prevention for specialists and stakeholders. RACR-2015, held June 1-3, 2015 in Tangier, Morocco, was the fifth conference in this series, following the successful RACR-2007 in Shanghai (China), RACR-2009 in Beijing (China), RACR-2011 in Laredo (USA) and RACR-2013 in Istanbul (Turkey).

To raise risk awareness within small countries and emerging economies, RACR-2015 chose the following theme: Emerging Economies, Risk and Development, and Intelligent Technology. This volume is composed of 77 high-quality papers submitted to RACR-2015 that have passed a rigorous peer review process, reflecting state-of-the-art research from around the world. The contributions cover almost all risk fields such as risk identification, risk assessment, risk evaluation and risk management. The conference topics included economic risk, catastrophic accidents, debt crisis, public health, uncertainty plague, threats to social safety, humanitarian logistics, terrorism events, managing risk for development, emerging risk, risk evaluation modeling, energy and resources, multi-criteria risk assessment, food and feed safety, risk radar, global climate change, internet of intelligences, Islamic banking, and natural disasters among others.

Foreword; Organization; A paradigm to construct Internet of intelligences for risk assessment; Research on the urban emergency shelter system planning: A case study of Guangzhou, China; Modeling causality of financial investment decisions in R&D on economic yields; ; Islamic banking and the limits of interest practices: Evidences from bootstrapping methodology; Credit evaluation for SEMs in inventory financing mode based on combination weighting method; The measure of data aggregation bias for crop production risk assessment; The acceptable risk criteria of mining industry in China;Enterprise legal risk management implementation in China-a case study; Simulation of the policy effect of technological SMEs loan risk compensation based on SD model;Trust in the government in emergency management-from the perspective of procedural justice; Credit evaluation for technological SMEs in inventory financing mode based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method;Credit risk under two-track system of rural finance in China; Comparison of two algorithms for retrieving land surface temperature from Landsat-8 TIRS data; Health risk assessment of exposure to Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) in garden vegetables in Southern Jiangsu, China; Study on the optimal layout of GIS-based fire station points in Jiaonan of Qingdao City; The utility assessment of rainstorm early warning based on Monte-Carlo simulation: A case study of Beijing; Inventory mapping of landslides caused by the 2013 Lushan, China Mw 6.6 earthquake; Analysis of desertification feature of typical steppe grassland based on fractal theory: A case study of Xilin GOL League; Natural hazards crisis: Disaster prediction, mitigation and prevention; Eutrophication risk assessment: A hybrid cloud approach; Simulating the adaptive measures of soybean production to climate change in China: Based on cross-scale model coupling; A study in recognizing weather-yield risk relationship of paddy planting in Hunan Province by data mining technology; The return period analysis of dust storm disaster based on joint distribution of three hazards; Study on the risk of probable maximum storm surge disaster in coastal area of Tianjin; An exit optimization modeling within evacuation simulation statistics in dense urban open space; Research of cigarette sales quantity forecast based on multiple linear regression model; Some preliminary results on children's earthquake risk perception of a highly seismic region of Mexico; The integrated risk assessment and zoning of meteorological disaster on maize production in China; Study on extreme risk measurement of vegetable oil futures market using the ARMA-GARCH approach; Earthquake-induced landslide susceptibility evaluation based on fuzzy logic and Shannon's entropy integrated information value models in the 2013 Minxian, China earthquake-affected area; Risk identification for children's sport suits based on product lifecycle; Fuzzy risk assessment of entropy-weight coefficient method applied in large public building fires; Evaluation of Fire Brigade Disasters Response Capacity by Analytical Hierarchy Process in Yunnan Province; Study on the characteristics variation of deep ocean currents in China's offshore based on China Ocean Reanalysis; Research on the evaluation system of construction risks based on catastrophe progression method; Efficiency evaluation of financial support on the biological medicine industry in China based on DEA; Spatial-and-temporal risk assessment of crops caused by flood in Northeast China; A dynamic PD-HL model with various penalty parameters; The study of drought and its impact analysis for tourism in western Jilin Province; Study on social risk evaluation and mechanism of major projects; The study of agricultural drought disaster risk early warning system; Assessment of rainstorm risk in Chinese civil aviation system; The study of grassland fire early warning based on SVM; The GREEN model for comprehensive severity of QAR exceedance with associated event; Improving urban master plan by fire risk assessment-in case of Shantou City, China; Landslide susceptibility assessment at the Suichuan area (China) using support vector machine model Ratio bias and sensitivity to probability in individuals' WTP for risk reduction of natural disasters; Example application of risk assessment technology based on acute poisoning accident dispersion simulation; Assessment on spatial vulnerability of network systems under spatially local hazards; The study of public acceptance of nuclear power in China with quantitative model; Disaster risk evaluation of old industrial buildings; Risk and crisis communication about nuclear accidents: A study with psychological methods; Spatial distribution analyses of pre-earthquake and coseismic landslides related to the 2014 Ludian Ms 6.5 earthquake of China; Drought risks evaluation in different periods in low latitude plateau based on fuzzy information distribution theory; Evolution characteristics of droughts during winter wheat growth in Shandong province since 1960 based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index; Case study: Financial indicators of the Mafia in the Montreal municipality infrastructure; A scenario puzzle method for dynamic regional disaster risk assessment; Dip angle and dissimilar materials in the Longmen Shan: Insights from numerical models; Rainfall threshold analysis for the initiation of landslides in Sichuan Province of China; Landslides caused by the Mw 6.1 Ludian, China earthquake of August 3, 2014; Experimental study on evacuation behavior of crowds in emergency situation; Comparisons of methods of goodness of fit tests in hydrologic analysis; Analysis of risk perception and decision-making behavior: An empirical case study of poultry industry; A dynamic decision support system based on Geographical Information and Mobile Social Networks: A model for tsunami risk mitigation in Padang, Indonesia; Analysis on mortgage risk of the right to use sea area in China Analysis of old steel mill renovation project's investment risk based on the real option of the BOT mode; The index system of ecological risk assessment based on the industrialization development of Coal-Bed Methane; Case study on snow disaster evaluation based on the directed and weighted complex networks; A case study of regional ecological risk assessment based on landscape structure; Research on an earthquake-induced landslide probability of occurrence model based on the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake; A survey of recent research regarding risks to marine; A preliminary study on time characteristic of natural disaster risk; Risk assessment of disaster caused by heavy rainfall: A case study in Beijing; Butterfly effect and medical risk management; Assessment on the effectiveness of suppressing premixed fuel-air explosion by ultra-fine cold aerosol; The role of NGOs in natural disaster governance: A case study on the One Foundation in Ya'an earthquake; Simulation of the rainfall-runoff process using HEC-HMS model in the Meghougha river basin in Tangier city (Northern Morocco)